Best bet of the week
Pick: —
This week's picks, ranked by expected value
Ranked by expected value (EV%) -- a small edge across a key number (3, 7, 10) is worth more than the same point gap in "dead" space, and EV accounts for that where raw edge alone didn't. Star tiers (★★★ High, ★★ Solid, ★ Lean) are just EV in a different shape; a ⚠ Low sample tag means one side's rating is still within its first few games this season, and a ⚠ High spread tag means the market's own line exceeds this model's current rating range -- treat those picks with extra skepticism. Not a guarantee. Sorted by EV by default; click any underlined column to re-sort.
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Last week's results
How our picks actually did, game by game — this is the record everything else here is built on.
| Matchup | Final | ATS Pick | Result | Total Pick | Result |
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Every week we've published, graded or not.
| Matchup | Final | ATS Pick | Result | Total Pick | Result |
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